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WEEKLY WHINE

Men’s World Cup expansion: What then?

Thank you for joining us for our examination of FIFA’s decision to expand the Men’s World Cup to 48 teams. We will now conclude by conducting the draw for the 2026 Men’s World Cup given the qualifying results that we presented last week.

  • How? [a proposed draft schedule for the 2026 Men’s World Cup]
  • Why?, by Edvard van de Kamp
  • Why not?, by Gaby Gandalucci
  • Where? [potential hosts of future tournaments]
  • Who? [a proposed qualifying format]
  • Who, specifically? [the projected outcome of our proposed qualifying format]

FINAL DRAW

The qualifying process ended with two sets of playoffs. The sixteen seeding playoffs were between two teams that have already qualified; the winners ended up in Pot 1, and the losers were placed in Pot 2. The sixteen repechage playoffs decided the last sixteen teams to qualify; the winners were placed in Pot 3.

POT 1
¤Argentina
¤Australia
¤Belgium
¤Costa Rica
¤England
¤Germany
¤Hungary
¤Iran
¤Italy
¤Japan
¤Korea Rep
¤Libya
¤Mali
¤Netherlands
¤Switzerland
¤Uruguay
POT 2
¤Canada
¤Congo DR
¤Côte d’Ivoire
¤Czech Rep
¤Denmark
¤Egypt
¤Guinea
¤Ireland Rep
¤Mexico
¤New Zealand
¤Panama
¤Poland
¤Portugal
¤Ukraine
¤United States
¤Uzbekistan
POT 3
¤Brazil
¤Cameroon
¤Chile
¤China PR
¤Colombia
¤France
¤Gabon
¤Greece
¤Israel
¤Montenegro
¤Papua New Guinea
¤Peru
¤Slovenia
¤Spain
¤Sweden
¤Togo

The draw divided the teams into sixteen groups of three; each group contains one team from each pot. We had twenty UEFA teams qualify, so there are four groups containing two UEFA teams. All other groups contain no more than one team from each confederation. Teams in Pot 1 and Pot 2 who had played one another in the seeding playoffs were allowed to be allocated to the same group. This happened with Libya and Ireland Rep in Group K, and with Costa Rica and Côte d’Ivoire in Group L.

Upon completion of the draw, the bye dates for each team were selected. In each group, the team from pot 1 had the first choice, and the team from pot 2 selected from the remaining options. Below are the results of the draw, along with each team’s selected bye date: matchday 1, 2, or 3.

GROUP PHASE
GROUP A
México, DF, Mexico
Korea Rep1
Mexico2
Sweden3
GROUP B
Chicago, IL, United States
Netherlands2
Czech Rep1
Cameroon3
GROUP C
Edmonton, AB, Canada
Belgium2
Denmark1
Togo3
GROUP D
Atlanta, GA, United States
England2
Portugal3
Peru1
GROUP E
Guadalupe, NL, Mexico
Germany2
Panama1
Papua New Guinea3
GROUP F
Arlington, TX, United States
Italy1
Guinea2
China PR3
GROUP G
Vancouver, BC, Canada
Uruguay1
Canada2
Montenegro3
GROUP H
Orlando, FL, United States
Switzerland2
New Zealand1
France3
GROUP I
Guadalajara, Jal, Mexico
Iran1
Poland2
Colombia3
GROUP J
Inglewood, CA, United States
Argentina2
Uzbekistan1
Spain3
GROUP K
Toronto, ON, Canada
Libya1
Ireland Rep2
Brazil3
GROUP L
Landover, MD, United States
Costa Rica2
Côte d’Ivoire1
Greece3
GROUP M
Puebla, Pue, Mexico
Australia1
Congo DR2
Slovenia3
GROUP N
East Rutherford, NJ, United States
Japan2
Egypt1
Israel3
GROUP O
Montréal, QC, Canada
Mali1
Ukraine2
Chile3
GROUP P
Seattle, WA, United States
Hungary2
United States1
Gabon3
ELIMINATION PHASE
ROUND OF 32ROUND OF 16QUARTERFINALSSEMIFINALS 
 [1st group A]
 [2nd group B]
 [Winner rd-32 3]
 [Winner rd-32 4]
 [Winner rd-16 1]
 [Winner rd-16 2]
 [Winner QF 1]
 [Winner QF 2]
FINAL
 [Winner SF 1]
 [Winner SF 2]
 [1st group C]
 [2nd group D]
 [1st group E]
 [2nd group F]
 [Winner rd-32 6]
 [Winner rd-32 8]
 [1st group G]
 [2nd group H]
 [1st group I]
 [2nd group J]
 [Winner rd-32 11]
 [Winner rd-32 9]
 [Winner rd-16 6]
 [Winner rd-16 5]
 [1st group K]
 [2nd group L]
 [1st group M]
 [2nd group N]
 [Winner rd-32 15]
 [Winner rd-32 13]
 [1st group O]
 [2nd group P]
 [1st group B]
 [2nd group C]
 [Winner rd-32 2]
 [Winner rd-32 1]
 [Winner rd-16 4]
 [Winner rd-16 3]
 [Winner QF 3]
 [Winner QF 4]
 [1st group D]
 [2nd group A]
 [1st group F]
 [2nd group G]
 [Winner rd-32 7]
 [Winner rd-32 5]
 [1st group H]
 [2nd group E]
 [1st group J]
 [2nd group K]
 [Winner rd-32 12]
 [Winner rd-32 10]
 [Winner rd-16 7]
 [Winner rd-16 8]
 [1st group L]
 [2nd group I]
 [1st group N]
 [2nd group O]
 [Winner rd-32 14]
 [Winner rd-32 16]
 [1st group P]
 [2nd group M]
 
THIRD PLACE
 [Loser SF 1]
 [Loser SF 2]

MATCHES

THU 11 JUN 2026
group AMéxico, DF, MEX10:00 PDTSwedenMexico
group BChicago, IL, USA13:00 PDTCameroonNetherlands
group DAtlanta, GA, USA16:00 PDTPortugalEngland
group CEdmonton, AB, CAN19:00 PDTTogoBelgium
FRI 12 JUN 2026
group HOrlando, FL, USA10:00 PDTFranceSwitzerland
group EGuadalupe, NL, MEX13:00 PDTPapua New GuineaGermany
group FArlington, TX, USA16:00 PDTChina PRGuinea
group GVancouver, BC, CAN19:00 PDTMontenegroCanada
SAT 13 JUN 2026
group KToronto, ON, CAN10:00 PDTBrazilIreland Rep
group LLandover, MD, USA13:00 PDTGreeceCosta Rica
group IGuadalajara, Jal, MEX16:00 PDTColombiaPoland
group JInglewood, CA, USA19:00 PDTSpainArgentina
SUN 14 JUN 2026
group OMontréal, QC, CAN10:00 PDTChileUkraine
group NEast Rutherford, NJ, USA13:00 PDTIsraelJapan
group MPuebla, Pue, MEX16:00 PDTSloveniaCongo DR
group PSeattle, WA, USA19:00 PDTGabonHungary
MON 15 JUN 2026
group DAtlanta, GA, USA10:00 PDTPeruPortugal
group BChicago, IL, USA13:00 PDTCzech RepCameroon
group AMéxico, DF, MEX16:00 PDTKorea RepSweden
group CEdmonton, AB, CAN19:00 PDTDenmarkTogo
TUE 16 JUN 2026
group HOrlando, FL, USA10:00 PDTNew ZealandFrance
group EGuadalupe, NL, MEX13:00 PDTPanamaPapua New Guinea
group FArlington, TX, USA16:00 PDTItalyChina PR
group GVancouver, BC, CAN19:00 PDTUruguayMontenegro
WED 17 JUN 2026
group KToronto, ON, CAN10:00 PDTLibyaBrazil
group LLandover, MD, USA13:00 PDTCôte d’IvoireGreece
group IGuadalajara, Jal, MEX16:00 PDTIranColombia
group JInglewood, CA, USA19:00 PDTUzbekistanSpain
THU 18 JUN 2026
group OMontréal, QC, CAN10:00 PDTMaliChile
group NEast Rutherford, NJ, USA13:00 PDTEgyptIsrael
group MPuebla, Pue, MEX16:00 PDTAustraliaSlovenia
group PSeattle, WA, USA19:00 PDTUnited StatesGabon
FRI 19 JUN 2026
group DAtlanta, GA, USA10:00 PDTEnglandPeru
group BChicago, IL, USA13:00 PDTNetherlandsCzech Rep
group AMéxico, DF, MEX16:00 PDTMexicoKorea Rep
group CEdmonton, AB, CAN19:00 PDTBelgiumDenmark
SAT 20 JUN 2026
group HOrlando, FL, USA10:00 PDTSwitzerlandNew Zealand
group EGuadalupe, NL, MEX13:00 PDTGermanyPanama
group FArlington, TX, USA16:00 PDTGuineaItaly
group GVancouver, BC, CAN19:00 PDTCanadaUruguay
SUN 21 JUN 2026
group KToronto, ON, CAN10:00 PDTIreland RepLibya
group LLandover, MD, USA13:00 PDTCosta RicaCôte d’Ivoire
group IGuadalajara, Jal, MEX16:00 PDTPolandIran
group JInglewood, CA, USA19:00 PDTArgentinaUzbekistan
MON 22 JUN 2026
group OMontréal, QC, CAN10:00 PDTUkraineMali
group NEast Rutherford, NJ, USA13:00 PDTJapanEgypt
group MPuebla, Pue, MEX16:00 PDTCongo DRAustralia
group PSeattle, WA, USA19:00 PDTHungaryUnited States
TUE 23 JUN 2026
rd-32 1Atlanta, GA, USA10:00 PDT[1st group D][2nd group A]
rd-32 2Chicago, IL, USA13:00 PDT[1st group B][2nd group C]
rd-32 3México, DF, MEX16:00 PDT[1st group A][2nd group B]
rd-32 4Edmonton, AB, CAN19:00 PDT[1st group C][2nd group D]
WED 24 JUN 2026
rd-32 5Orlando, FL, USA10:00 PDT[1st group H][2nd group E]
rd-32 6Guadalupe, NL, MEX13:00 PDT[1st group E][2nd group F]
rd-32 7Arlington, TX, USA16:00 PDT[1st group F][2nd group G]
rd-32 8Vancouver, BC, CAN19:00 PDT[1st group G][2nd group H]
THU 25 JUN 2026
rd-32 9Toronto, ON, CAN10:00 PDT[1st group K][2nd group L]
rd-32 10Landover, MD, USA13:00 PDT[1st group L][2nd group I]
rd-32 11Guadalajara, Jal, MEX16:00 PDT[1st group I][2nd group J]
rd-32 12Inglewood, CA, USA19:00 PDT[1st group J][2nd group K]
FRI 26 JUN 2026
rd-32 13Montréal, QC, CAN10:00 PDT[1st group O][2nd group P]
rd-32 14East Rutherford, NJ, USA13:00 PDT[1st group N][2nd group O]
rd-32 15Puebla, Pue, MEX16:00 PDT[1st group M][2nd group N]
rd-32 16Seattle, WA, USA19:00 PDT[1st group P][2nd group M]
SAT 27 JUN 2026
rd-16 1Guadalupe, NL, MEX13:00 PDT[Winner rd-32 3][Winner rd-32 4]
rd-16 2Atlanta, GA, USA17:00 PDT[Winner rd-32 6][Winner rd-32 8]
SUN 28 JUN 2026
rd-16 3Edmonton, AB, CAN13:00 PDT[Winner rd-32 7][Winner rd-32 5]
rd-16 4Orlando, FL, USA17:00 PDT[Winner rd-32 2][Winner rd-32 1]
MON 29 JUN 2026
rd-16 5Toronto, ON, CAN13:00 PDT[Winner rd-32 15][Winner rd-32 13]
rd-16 6Seattle, WA, USA17:00 PDT[Winner rd-32 11][Winner rd-32 9]
TUE 30 JUN 2026
rd-16 7Puebla, Pue, MEX13:00 PDT[Winner rd-32 12][Winner rd-32 10]
rd-16 8Landover, MD, USA17:00 PDT[Winner rd-32 14][Winner rd-32 16]
FRI 03 JUL 2026
QF 1Guadalajara, Jal, MEX13:00 PDT[Winner rd-16 1][Winner rd-16 2]
QF 2Chicago, IL, USA17:00 PDT[Winner rd-16 6][Winner rd-16 5]
SAT 04 JUL 2026
QF 3Montréal, QC, CAN13:00 PDT[Winner rd-16 4][Winner rd-16 3]
QF 4Arlington, TX, USA17:00 PDT[Winner rd-16 7][Winner rd-16 8]
TUE 07 JUL 2026
SF 1México, DF, MEX17:00 PDT[Winner QF 1][Winner QF 2]
WED 08 JUL 2026
SF 2East Rutherford, NJ, USA17:00 PDT[Winner QF 3][Winner QF 4]
SAT 11 JUL 2026
third placeVancouver, BC, CAN16:00 PDT[Loser SF 1][Loser SF 2]
SUN 12 JUL 2026
finalInglewood, CA, USA15:00 PDT[Winner SF 1][Winner SF 2]

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